Optimal Taxation of Robots

Current Research
Uwe Thuemmel
Year: 2018

I study the optimal taxation of robots and labor income. In the model, robots substitute for routine labor and complement non-routine labor. I show that while it is optimal to distort the use of robots, robots may be either taxed or subsidized. The robot tax exploits general-equilibrium effects to compress the wage distribution. Wage compression reduces income-tax distortions of labor supply, thereby raising welfare. Quantitatively, the optimal robot tax equals 4\% if occupations are fixed, but its welfare impact is negligible. With occupational choice, the optimal robot tax is 0.4\%, and approaches zero as the price of robots falls.

Optimal Taxation of Income and Human Capital and Skill-Biased Technical Change

Current Research
Bas Jacobs, Uwe Thuemmel
Year: 2018

How should redistributive governments change tax and education policy in response to skill- biased technical change? To answer this question, this paper merges the canonical model of skill-biased technical change due to Katz and Murphy (1992) with the continuous-type Mirrlees (1971) model. Workers of different ability face an extensive education choice to be come high-skilled. Wages are endogenous. Optimal marginal income tax rates follow the same formula as in Mirrlees (1971). The intercept of the optimal tax function differs for low-skilled and high-skilled workers, while marginal tax rates are the same for high-skilled and low-skilled workers at the cut-off ability where workers are indifferent between being high-skilled or not. We show that education should optimally be taxed on a net basis. Moreover, optimal tax and education policies do not exploit general-equilibrium effects on the wage distribution to reduce pre-tax earnings differentials. SBTC has ambigous effects on optimal marginal tax rates depending only on how social welfare weights change. SBTC has ambiguous effects on income net taxes on education, since distributional benefits and distortions simultaneously increase. Numerical simulations demonstrate that SBTC leads to higher optimal marginal income taxes for middle incomes, while lowering marginal income taxes towards the top. Skill-biased technical change raises optimal marginal income tax rates especially around the income level of the marginally high-skilled worker. The tax system becomes more progressive in response to SBTC. Education subsidies increase in response to SBTC.

Optimal Linear Taxation and Education Policy with Skill-Biased Technological Change

Current Research
Bas Jacobs, Uwe Thuemmel
Year: 2018

This paper studies how tax and education policy should optimally respond to skill-biased technical change (SBTC). To do so, it merges the canonical model of SBTC (Katz and Murphy, 1992) and the optimal linear tax model (Sheshinski, 1972), which is extended with a discrete education decision. For a given level of skill-bias, the optimal income tax and education subsidy equate marginal distributional benefits to the marginal distortions in labor supply and education. Optimal income taxes are lower and optimal education subsidies are higher if general-equilibrium effects cause stronger wage compression. Skill-biased technical change (SBTC) has theoretically ambiguous impacts on both optimal income taxes and education subsidies, since SBTC simultaneously changes i) distributional benefits, ii) distortions in education, and iii) wage compression effects of both policies. The model is calibrated to the US economy to quantify the impact of SBTC on optimal policy. SBTC is found to make the tax system more progressive, since the distributional benefits of higher income taxes rise more than the tax distortions on education and the wage-decompression effects of taxes. SBTC also lowers optimal education subsidies, since the distributional losses and the distortions of higher education subsidies increase more than the wage-compression effects of subsidies.

Globalization or skill-biased technical change? Exploring the proximate causes for rising wage inequality in the Dutch manufacturing sector

Other Papers
Uwe Thuemmel
Year: 2013

Using matched employer-employee data for the Netherlands, this paper studies the proximate causes of increasing wage inequality associated with globalization and skill-biased technical change: it investigates the extent to which changes in the employment share of exporters and the exporter premium, as well as changes in the share of college graduates and the college premium have contributed to rising wage inequality in the Dutch manufacturing sector between 2001 and 2005. Decomposition techniques are used to attribute changes in the wage distribution to three components: changes in returns to characteristics, composition changes, and changes in the distribution of residuals. The main findings are as follows: first, the exporter premium changed only slightly between 2001 and 2005, thus contributing little to rising inequality; second, an increasing exporter-employment share modestly decreased overall wage dispersion; third, a rising college premium contributed between 8% and 16% to inequality growth; fourth, the contribution of a rising share of college graduates to inequality explains more than 30% of the increase in dispersion. It is concluded that if globalization contributed to wage inequality, it did so via the skill- rather than the exporter premium.